While the knee-jerk reaction to the violence on the Gaza border Saturday, including a Palestinian opening fire at point-blank range and critically injuring a border guard, would be for a forceful response against Hamas, it is doubtful such action would lead to calm or have any other desirable effect for Israel.
For now, the options facing Israel range from bad to worse, as do those facing Hamas, the terror group that controls the coastal enclave.
Hamas is playing with fire for the umpteenth time, looking to bolster its status on the Palestinian street and send a message that it’s not afraid of a fight with Israel.
The group wants to be sure that Palestinians know it has not softened its position on confronting the Jewish state even after reaching a deal with it on the transfer of Qatari funds.
A real confrontation with Israel could cost it more than it is willing to pay, but with new leadership in Jerusalem, Hamas may not actually be able to gauge what the price will be.
Just a few days before the flareup, Hamas and Israel came to an understanding, through an assortment of intermediaries, on the transfer of Qatar’s aid money to impoverished families in the Gaza Strip, with a new mechanism to avoid unphotogenic cash transfers in suitcases.
Despite the deal, which should have calmed tensions, Hamas kept plans in place for the rare mass rally Saturday on the Gaza border, under the title of “The anniversary of the attempt to burn the Al-Aqsa mosque.” That it would turn violent was no big surprise.
The anniversary marked 52 years since a Christian Australian tourist set fire to sections of al-Aqsa mosque. He was tried, found to be insane, and was hospitalized in a mental institution over the arson.
Commemorating the event appeared to be primarily an excuse to get the masses to riot along the border. Hamas seemed to want civilians to confront troops, knowing full well there would be Palestinian injuries, and maybe even some on Israel’s side as well.
The aim of the border riot was likely to put pressure on Israel to speed up the resumption of the Qatari aid, and once that was achieved, to find a solution for the payment of salaries for Hamas civil employees, which was not covered in the fresh agreement.
Until recently, Hamas relied on the Qatari money for its salaries, but since Israel has refused to allow the money to go to that, the terror group will have to find another source for these funds.
Hamas has the ability to find an internal source of funding to pay for its salaries, but it does not want to do so. It prefers to use the money from Qatar for the clerk’s salaries, and collect taxes from Gaza’s residents to fund its military and terror industries.
Since May’s latest round of heavy fighting between Israel and Hamas ended, Hamas has been busy replenishing its rocket stockpile and rebuilding the network of tunnels struck by the IDF during the 11-day war.
For Israel this is a classic dilemma: Restraint in the wake of Saturday’s border violence means the erosion of deterrence and an invitation for the next escalation. But on the other hand, a too-harsh response to the wounding of the border guard and the riots would prompt the resumption of rocket fire from Gaza, and Israel would again find itself in a counterproductive round of violence, leading to yet another impasse.
It is clear that the new government headed by Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Defense Minister Benny Gantz doesn’t have any magical solution to the Gaza problem. And so, as with Benjamin Netanyahu’s government, we will most likely just see more of the dismal same.
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